Jameson Williams
4 prop legs priced on receiving yards, receptions. 0 graded so far.
Graded record
Every rate on this page carries the number of graded legs it came from. A handful of legs is a handful of legs, not a hit rate worth trusting.
Closing-line value is the no-vig probability of the side we took at the close minus the same probability when the drop was built. Positive means the market moved onto our side. Two things keep it honest here. A leg whose drop was built after the game started has no closing line to beat, so its CLV is a dash rather than a zero. And the average is taken over recommended legs only: both sides of every market are priced and graded, and averaging a side against its own mirror image cancels to zero whatever the model did.
Every priced line
| Game | Stat | Line | Side | Ours | Edge | Tier | Result | CLV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17Lions at Bills | receiving yards | 57.5 | Over | 52.4% | +1.4 | C | — | — |
| Sep 17Lions at Bills | receptions | 3.5 | Over | 57.7% | +1.4 | C | — | — |
| Sep 17Lions at Bills | receptions | 3.5 | Under | 42.3% | -1.4 | C | — | — |
| Sep 17Lions at Bills | receiving yards | 57.5 | Under | 47.6% | -1.4 | C | — | — |
Swipe the table sideways for the remaining columns.
How to read this page
Tier A is an edge of six points or more and tier B three to six; both are recommended. Tier C is below three points — it is shown for completeness and is never recommended. A prop market whose calibration gate is failing is marked watch: the model prices it, the record grades it, and nothing here recommends it.